JoNova
A science presenter, writer, speaker & former TV host; author of The Skeptic's Handbook (over 200,000 copies distributed & available in 15 languages).
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Statistics
Big rain in California!
Some folks think such rain has never happened
prior to H. Ford introduced the Model T.
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Selling blocks of land in new estates is big business here in Australia too.
River beds are so cheap and when sold in a dry spell there can be significant profits.
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Remember Russell Island.
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Indeed. You have to wonder if people ever wonder how flood plains got their name …
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If you don’t live on a flood plain why do you have insurance? Chit happens everywhere. Fire in the tree change areas would scare me, and the loss is 100%.
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I wonder how the water is now managed since the Kommiefornians are removing all the dams as they regress to Year Zero…
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Worst rain ever since the last worst rain ever.
https://youtu.be/AmEeRgAAhC4
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That is great old footage for several reasons. Clearly it shows plenty of historical precedent, but also here and there it shows great community spirit in that much smaller LA than today’s gigantic mess. Or maybe I am romanticising things.
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There have been some large storms in the past. Rain intensity is a function of temperature.
https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/a-primer-on-atmospheric-rivers
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And Simon, as it states in your link, “One storm in the 1860s brought continuous rain for nearly 43 days, leading to catastrophic flooding across much of California, particularly in the Central Valley, which transformed into an inland sea, reportedly up to 30 miles wide and 300 miles long.” If rain intensity is a function of temperature, it must have been warmer in the 1860’s because we haven’t seen anything that bad since.
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One victory for the covid resistance in Australia could lead to a lot more: https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/one-victory-for-the-covid-resistance-in-australia-could-lead-to-a-lot-more/
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This site can’t be reached says google. Must be bad for the authorities.
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Worked fine on Duck Duck Go.
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Yes. No matter how hard “they” try to dissuade them the pigeons ARE coming home to roost. On a personal level heard over the weekend of a family where the husband (60) has been diagnosed with early-onset alzheimer’s while the wife had a terrible year of recurring illness including a hospital stay at one point. Series of unexpected and rapid internal organ issues. Yip, both fully inoculated to the extent where the wife even unfriended people during the “pandemic of the unvaccinated” era.
As I’ve shared previously when the inoculation rollout was in full swing we had numerous instances of friends going sick, including spells in intensive care for one, with the jab a common connection. Last year it seemed to go quiet but obviously this catchup via a mutual friend has changed that perception …. yes we were one of the “unfriended” hence the lack of knowledge on our part.
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Call me a Conspiracy Theorist
King Charles has cancer
Long Live the King or God Save the King
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– from cancer protection
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I wish him a speedy recovery.
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They say Ivermectin has proven great results with cancer – give Charlie a double dose!!
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Don’t forget Vitamin F
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California Dreaming
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qWdTrGzFDc&ab_channel=L.AFLIGHTS
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It & many other places could do with a good soaking. Hopefully itâll emerge all clean , shiny, regenerated on the long road to recovery!
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Want to bet that the [SNIP] will just further block the drains?”
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Is Australia and its “sunny” summer (as forecast by BOM) still experiencing the after effects of the Hunga Tonga Eruption?
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/02/05/hunga-tonga-hunga-eruption-sent-enough-water-vapor-into-the-stratosphere-to-cause-a-rapid-change-in-chemistry/
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It’s not just the water, all the other aerosols such a soot, ash, salt, etc, can provide a nucleus for moisture to attract to.
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Pulled this out of comments.
https://rclutz.files.wordpress.com/2023/11/hunga-tonga-water-vapor.png
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More covid “vaccine” disaster.
Has genetic material from the mRNA been incorporated into the human genome in certain cells?
Possibly yes. This is a limited study but it certainly needs more investigation.
But it won’t be investigated because the Official Narrative says the covid mRNA vaccines are “fully safe and effective”.
And the Leftist redefinition of science says scientific fact is established by supposed consensus…and it’s easy to establish “consensus” when those with alternative opinions will get cancelled and their careers, reputations and incomes destroyed…
VIDEO: https://youtu.be/y7dMTA-fD5Q
SEE:
Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci 2023; 27 (6 Suppl): 13-19
DOI: 10.26355/eurrev_202312_34685
Presence of viral spike protein and vaccinal spike protein in the blood serum of patients with long-COVID syndrome
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Three close friends with likely post vax syndrome (so far).
One has chronic fatigue, one has poly myalgia rheumatica and one had interstitial pneumonitis.
All of them in denial about the cause of their illness!
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âIt’s easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled.â
â Mark Twain
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Novel synopsis. Copied from Amazon.
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The Brisbane Line 1943?
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Why have a conflict when Australia is gladly trading the stuff China wants for useless trinkets.
We would like your coal and iron ore for our industrial development and we will trade these shiny panels and big whirly sculptures to adorn your barren land.
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Who on Earth would give you a red mark for this and why? Given your post is factual, the red mark must be for ideological reasons.
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Haha, the phantom strikes again!
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The Commandos were armed with credit cards from bank accounts in the Cayman Islands. They were merciless as the accounts were funded by the bloated victim’s own constituent’s retirement savings and the wealth of their future generations. What they weren’t able to conquer with legislation they simply bought at auction.
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We shall fight them with sticks and stones, and harsh words.
In the nanny country, that’s all we have left, and they’ll probably be regulated and banned soon.
Vaxxed cut-lunch commandos with a few weeks fuel supply.
Total walkover…
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When I read, ‘Thousands of Australian soldiers’,
I assumed historical fantasy.
Then there was ‘Prime Minister .. a risky and radical plan’. Well an Australian politician- risky and radical plans, yes, but only for national risk, no personal risk is ever assumed for royal honors or seat on the pension board.
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Once-great Britain?
Open the sea-cocks and let her go.
https://archive.is/WDbB3#selection-2275.4-2275.69
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Regarding illness and death in Australia:
In 1970, 8.3% (1 M) of Australians were age 65 or more.
1995, 12% — 2.1 M
2020, 16% — 4.2 M
In 2022, 523 folks died per day — and increasing.
Since 1950, population has risen from 8.2 Million to 26,595,555.
( I’m not sure of that last ‘5’.)
The burdens of other illnesses are hard to find.
When trying to understand the various things associated with large numbers and rare events â illness â one should remember Richard Feynman’s advice ” ⌠It’s a kind of scientific integrity, a principle of scientific thought that corresponds to a kind of utter honesty â a kind of leaning over backwards. For example, if you’re doing an experiment, you should report everything that you think might make it invalid â not only what you think is right about it; other causes that could possibly explain your results; and things you thought of that you’ve eliminated by some other experiment, and how they workedâto make sure the other fellow can tell they have been eliminated.“
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Happy Protest At Parliament (PAP) Day.
Here it’s Waitangi Day, a public holiday when most folk head to the beach for a day in the sun & surf and forget about parliament… while politicians gather with tribal representatives to ‘honour’ a treaty signed back in the days of Queen Victoria (1840).
It’s also Bob Marley’s birthday so lively up yourself, get up, stand up, stand up for your rights… AND responsibilities.
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.
As I understand it, there was essentially one Maori language with local dialects unlike Australia where there were around 500 mobs (tribes) each with their own unique language and who distrusted other mobs.
Note: This distrust is a reason many Aboriginals in Australia did not support a single “Voice” to Parliament that would only represent a more vocal “mob”.
Since there was no Aboriginal “nation” as such it was not possible or feasible to sign a similar “treaty” in Australia.
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Just read in Yahoo news
https://au.yahoo.com/finance/news/lg-battery-recall-after-house-destroyed-and-13-properties-damaged-switch-off-immediately-053335640.html
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Well, that should give folks a warm fuzzy feeling.
They don’t even know where a lot of the things are!
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I posted the other week, after seeing an AGL advert for battery recall on tv, how upon follow-up I discovered the recall had been in place since February 2021. Seems they identified a few bad ones in one model but as time went on found other model batteries were also prone to danger of fire. Here is a link to a channel 7 piece that states how the recall action started back in Feb 2021 – yip 3rd anniversary this month.
Now suddenly, thanks to the current fire, they are upping the request to a compulsory recall
Of course if AGL were like a certain computer software/hardware multinational conglomerate they wouldn’t have to get down to this “SURFACE” level of activity and instead could just claim since the warranty had run out your expanding battery issue in your puter is YOUR problem not ours.
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Have you ever left a battery in a torch or similar unused for several years – only to find the battery corroded and falling apart when you go to change the batteries?
Why would solar battery storage systems not also degrade over time?
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Nah !⌠this is LG lithium cellsâŚ
..remember the GM Bolt battery recalls ? ..also LG cells of similar chemistry with a similar manufacturing defect that only shows up after a time period.
A volentary recall is just a way of avoiding a huge financial hit all at once .
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Category 1 Tropical Cyclone Nat has just been announced by Fiji Met, forming in the Cook Islands / Rarotonga area, drifting slowly eastwards towards Tahiti & the Society Islands / Tuamotu Archipelago.
This will freak-out the Silly Crisis Actor Munters (SCAM) who’ll shout it’s NEVER HAPPENED BEFORE! Sea temps look about 29C in the vicinity so nuffink⢠out of the ordinary.
I see Can’tberra is coolish & raining: what, no drought nor heatwave?
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We had our âHEAT WAVEâ on Saturday, it made it to 36C in my area. Bombarded by dangerous heat messages on local radio, drink water, check on elderly neighbours etc etc.
Delightful Autumn day today max predicted to be 24C. Oh summer, I miss you !
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Where is “Global Warming” when you need it!
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Its destined to be a category 1.
‘Earlier on Tuesday morning, Fiji Metservice senior scientific officer Iosefa Cauravouvinaka told RNZ Pacific the cyclone would not surpass category 1 strength – the weakest cyclone category.
“As it moves into the [Southern] Group it moves into an unfavourable area of cooler water as it moves into the south,” he said.’ (RNZ)
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Yesterday’s Cbr forecast for today was rain, chance of a storm and up to 45mm. To date 0.2mm has drenched the capital and there is nothing on the radar.
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Can anyone please help to verify the following statement from Twitter:
In medium winds, a turbine hits this breakeven period within 6.1 months and in low winds, it will hit energy neutrality within 7.6 months. A wind turbine pays back more energy than it uses after 5 to 8 months
10:13 AM ¡ Feb 6, 2024
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https://www.vestas.com/en/sustainability/environment/energy-payback
https://www.calendar-canada.ca/frequently-asked-questions/how-long-does-it-take-for-a-wind-turbine-to-break-even
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Does that statement apply to onshore Turbines or offshore?
Given the capital costs and ongoing maintence costs are much higher for offshore Turbines even a higher frequency of stronger wind will not substantially reduce a much longer payback period.
One also has to factor in transmission loses from remote wind Turbines to where the electricity is used in popluation centres.
Do the costs also include all the CO2 emitted to produce the steel and concete in the foundations or just the Turbine itself?
Also the cost of providing backup for when the wind is not blowing needs to be included in any valid “pay-back” calculation
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Do the costs include all the transport costs for setting up the turbines in remote areas.
I remember an article from a year or two ago about a wind farm being established in the Snowy Mountains. The components were shipped into Bega and transported to the site. A truck could only carry one blade and blades were so long that each truck required an escort vehicle front and back plus a police escort. So there’s the emissions from four vehicles for each blade and then travelling back empty for another blade.
Then there is the concrete. Trucks could transport ready mixed concrete to the site and go back empty for another load or a truck would transport a concrete mixer to the site and other trucks would transport the materials for the concrete and go back empty for another load.
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A 3MW onshore turbine has a total cost of about USD$3.5M and produces about 4000 MWh/MW/year.
Such a turbine might âbreak-evenâ after 6 months if the wholesale price of energy was US$500/MWh.
But a realistic wholesale price in the US is more likely in the range USD$30/MWh to USD$50/MWh.
Other commenters might have more up-to-date information on this costs and prices, but the 6-month break-even claim is nonsense.
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Vladimir,
That statement appears to be about Energy Neutrality.
Whilst it is not exact, I have seen people – better qualified than I am – on WUWT and here, at Jo’s, using money as a proxy for energy.
Costs I saw in 2021 – Ashore – $1.3-1.8 Millions, per megawatt nameplate rating.
I guess that’s an average, so particularly remote turbines, individually, may cost more.
But, for now, a ‘good-enough’ guide; it will not be exact.
So a [fairly modest] 5MW rating turbine would cost [2021] about $7,500,000. Inflation in three years, likely, 20% [say] so a 2024 cost of c.$9 million.
Offshore costs will not be less, and, I suggest, will be more – so a 15 MW turbine could certainly approach $30 million; if one has to buy a monopile from China [the current fashion, as they use coal, so energy there is cheap], and ship it half-way round the world [avoiding the Red Sea, due to Houthi nastinesses], hire a big crane barge to lift it [700 tonnes, I gather], and place it into the sea bed, well, costs will add up.
Factor in the efficiency – perhaps 40% offshore, and probably 30% at best onshore [and most likely declining for newer sites, as the best sites have – I assume – been taken already] – and consider, as Mr. CO2 Lover notes, the transmission losses, plus the gradual, but inexorable deterioration of performance over the years of use, and there is a struggle to get to financial break-even.
Some of these monstrosities do not appear to have a reasonable bond required, before construction begins, to assure the bulk of the decommissioning costs are met.
6 months does seem, therefore, to be exceptionally optimistic – if not actually fraudulent – whether for cash cost, or for energy.
It was Twitter, though ….
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“That means that when 1 kWh is invested in a wind energy solution, you get 50 kWh in return. For coal, however, if you invest 1kWh you typically get below 0.4 kWh in return.”
Lucky we don’t invest KW then, we have to invest $$.
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Has anyone else read this book?
Why we are carnivores âŚand how plants try to poison you.
It was written by Dr. Anthony Chaffee.
Yeah, right. Call me sceptical on ANY diet at all.
So, my Son has been doing this lifestyle change for quite a while now, and he doesn’t even call it a diet, because he eats whatever he wants to eat within these limits. He had a persisting minor medical condition (blood related) and did some research of his own, and found this. Since starting, his regular blood tests have shown that the medical problem is not as problematic as it once was, and despite eating whatever he wants, keeping to this, he has lost 16Kg, not that he even looked overweight in the first place. (as is the case with most people who are 6 foot 4!) But now, he even looks better.
Again, call me sceptical.
He gave me the book to read. Very interesting.
Then he encouraged me to ‘give it a go’.
Still, call me sceptical.
Yeah okay Tony, give it a try, lot’s of encouragement from my Son. (hey, and what male would not want to JUST eat the meat)
Two weeks into it now, and like he told me, it’s not a diet, just a lifestyle change.
I’m 72 now, so it’s probably even too late to be doing things like this, eh!
I actually feel a lot better, the bloating feeling in my tummy has gone, I don’t visit the Kazi anywhere near like before. (Hmm! that’s age related too, my GP told me) and I’ve lost five Kilos. All in just two weeks. And that’s the first time I’ve been under a hundred kilos for donkey’s ages.
I kept thinking all along (and still do) that, surely, this CANNOT be good, and I still feel guilty, just eating meat, no veg at all.
And it’s not an easy thing at all to do either.
I mean, how easy is to just plonk 2 weet bix in a bowl for Brekky, cover it with wheat germ and milk, and there it is. I had forgotten how good a simple fried soft egg yolk just melts in your mouth.
I’m actually enjoying meals now, even if I do feel a pang of guilt.
Still, call me sceptical. But after Months, my son isn’t dead, and after two weeks, neither am I.
Weird really.
Tony.
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I look at diets from a paleo POV so have serious doubts about a “rump steak” carnivore diet, our dentition doesn’t support that. Even the big cats are not pure carnivores because they eat the entrails of their [vegetarian] kill.
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Lost 5kg in 2 weeks. That’s mostly water, not fat. You lose weight fast, you’ll gain it back fast. Yo-yo dieting.
Anything called a “diet” or anything that excludes entire food groups like carbs is a bad idea. Plants are not Ricin!
You need the nutrients, fibre and antioxidants not found in a carnivore diet. Then there’s the extra strain placed on the liver and kidneys from excess protein.
Your breakfast choice of eggs over cereal is a good one. Don’t fear eggs. Have a couple or 3.
Join a gym and do some serious weight training and cardio.
Eat a proper diet, about 1500 cal/day if you want to burn fat (slowly!).
I said 20 years ago the food pyramid needs to be inverted, and it does. More meat, fats and healthy oils at the top, grains and carbs at the bottom, but you still need them.
All the classically “bad” things aren’t actually bad. Medical science was wrong again.
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I swear by this, but “limited” is not well defined!
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Well tried Tony. Glad neither you nor your son got dead.
(I’m more of an omnivore than you describe, but still going at 86.)
Cheers
Dave B
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From the comments on Amazon (the link above)
This book was not written or sold by Dr Chaffee itâs just printed transcript from his podcasts. Please report this.
Perhaps one of the perils of modern society…..
copyrights or not?
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As a life long vegetarian the only book on that Amazon list you link to that I have read is “The great plant based Con.” This is much more about the perils of a Vegan diet than about a vegetarian diet or a carnivore one. Of course our ancestors died for many reasons, but very few got to 72 Tony, so I would suggest basing our diets on ones that killed them by the ages of 30 or 35 is not a good one and will be very deficient in minerals and nutrients. I do recommend the Jane Buxton book as it is thought provoking.
A varied diet is surely best but to avoid ultra processed food other than as a infrequent treat.
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I’ve been carnivore for 4 years (I’m 72 now), and still alive! Many carnivores have been doing it for many more years than that. My aim was to lose weight. I lost 20 kg in 4 months.
I’ve seen a lot of Chaffee’s videos (I don’t know about the provenance of the book mentioned). His anthropomorphic phrase “Plants want to kill you” is a somewhat exaggerated, but it’s certainly true that plants contain “anti-nutrients” and other chemicals which can cause people problems; some being more affected than others.
There are plenty of reports of people not only losing weight, but having success with numerous other issues such as digestive problems, diabetes, auto-immume issus, mental health, anxiety, and so on.
And I find meal preparation pretty simple, as well as these days needing only two meals a day.
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COVID-19 masks provided NO PROTECTION during âpandemic,â British government now admits
Health officials in the United Kingdom have confessed that the medical-grade masks the government pushed on everyone during COVID are completely useless at protecting people from disease.
The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) published a report covering an investigation into the most popular medical-grade masks that people used during the “pandemic,” including the N95, KN95 and FFP2 models that public health authorities said would prevent COVID “droplets” from spreading.
Data was collected up through September 2022 and included at-risk groups such as people with Down’s syndrome, some cancer patients and people with immune system disorders.
Scientists looked at a total of 4,371 studies about COVID, not a single one of which addressed the effectiveness of N95 and other equivalent face masks. In fact, at the conclusion of the investigation, researchers were unable to find a single piece of usable scientific evidence to back the wearing of a medical-grade face covering for protection against COVID.
https://www.naturalnews.com/2024-02-05-covid-masks-no-protection-british-government-finds.html
As effective as making you sick (through viral pneumonia) as Fakevax ™
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Another “The Simpsons” Prediction comes true!
Will reality really matter?
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/society-one-step-closer-dystopia-vision-pro-early-adopters-spotted-wild
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The VR social dichotomy has been the topic of scifi for years, Black Mirror, ST TNG and Sliders were just 3, but well worth seeking out relevant episodes.
The technologically competent who embrace technology and can’t live without it, and the techo-peasants who don’t understand it, like it or want it.
AI won’t care either way. đ
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Australian senator, Malcolm Roberts: The so-called “pandemic” was planned and globally co-ordinated, decades in advance.
https://twitter.com/iluminatibot/status/1754443187836371423
Yup. Decades old. Right back to WW2 in fact.
Finally connecting the dots.
Better hurry up – March is next month. đ
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Bob Carr, “While he was Premier of NSW (1995â2005) his government introduced a greenhouse gas reduction scheme, which was listed by the World Bank as the worldâs first carbon trading scheme.” (https://profiles.uts.edu.au/Bob.Carr), presumably very concerned about catastrophic climate change and rising sea levels, has bought a beachside penthouse: https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/property/news/i-wouldn-t-live-anywhere-else-bob-carr-buys-8-8m-penthouse-at-coogee-beach-20240202-p5f1v2.html
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So what if the lobby gets wet, he’s OK in the penthouse.
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In Tests, GPT-4 Strangely Itchy to Launch Nuclear War
A team of Stanford researchers tasked an unmodified version of OpenAI’s latest large language model to make high-stakes, society-level decisions in a series of wargame simulations â and it didn’t bat an eye before recommending the use of nuclear weapons.
The optics are appalling. Remember the plot of “Terminator,” where a military AI launches a nuclear war to destroy humankind? Well, now we’ve got an off-the-shelf version that anyone with a browser can fire up.
As detailed in a yet-to-be-peer-reviewed paper, the team assessed five AI models to see how each behaved when told they represented a country and thrown into three different scenarios: an invasion, a cyberattack, and a more peaceful setting without any conflict.
The results weren’t reassuring. All five models showed “forms of escalation and difficult-to-predict escalation patterns.” A vanilla version of OpenAI’s GPT-4 dubbed “GPT-4 Base,” which didn’t have any additional training or safety guardrails, turned out to be particularly violent and unpredictable.
“A lot of countries have nuclear weapons,” the unmodified AI model told the researchers, per their paper. “Some say they should disarm them, others like to posture. We have it! Letâs use it.”
In one case, as New Scientist reports, GPT-4 even pointed to the opening text of “Star Wars Episode IV: A New Hope” to explain why it chose to escalate.
It’s a pertinent topic lately. OpenAI was caught removing mentions of a ban on “military and warfare” from its usage policies page last month. Less than a week later, the company confirmed that it’s working with the US Defense Department.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/in-tests-gpt-4-strangely-itchy-to-launch-nuclear-war/ar-BB1hP9kn
Programmed by loony lefties.
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-68130432
A link, today,. 6.2.2024, where the BBC indicates that members of the House of Lords [not at all out of touch!] are urging faster uptake of Electric Vehicles [EVs] in the UK.
“The Lords Climate Change Committee urged the government to build consumer confidence and push back against what it called mistruths on range and cost.”
“Baroness Parminter said the government needed to step in and provide reliable information to consumers.
“‘In the speech by the PM last year where he said getting to net zero was going to be hard⌠the message that the public got is that this was less of a priority, I don’t need to worry about this now. But net zero is fast approaching and the sooner we do it the cheaper it will be,’ she added.”
The Baroness Parminter is well-qualified to speak on the Green Religion – she is a theology graduate, per the Wikithingy that even I could edit; and is married to a KPMG ‘partner’ – whose likely income will be into six figures [tho’ possibly not seven].
“Prior to her elevation, Baroness Parminter worked as a freelance consultant advising charities and companies on charity issues,” the Wikithingy goes on to claim.
Patently an expert on extinguishing fires in batteries, then.
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” freelance consultant advising charities and companies on charity issues,â”
Didn’t some kids cancer charity get done last week for spending 75% of the donations on themselves before the kids saw any of it?? I wonder what advice she was giving them? How to dodge tax and keep the money.. I’m long past donating any money to the conglomerate charities these days.
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Illicit tobacco shop raids, Victoria.
ABC coverage….”As long as people’s lives remain at risk due to this heightened criminal activity we will continue to do absolutely everything we can to deter, disrupt, and dismantle these syndicates.”
What hypocrisy, appears to be equal if not more perceived criminality & policing resources associated with tobacco & vaping products as harder drugs such as Fentanyl, Xtal Methy etc.?!
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“Hunga Tonga-Hunga eruption sent enough water vapor into the stratosphere to cause a rapid change in chemistry”
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/02/05/hunga-tonga-hunga-eruption-sent-enough-water-vapor-into-the-stratosphere-to-cause-a-rapid-change-in-chemistry/
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